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2023.04.01 00:16 ThrowawayAmor 31 [M4F] The Netherlands. Are you looking for mutual feelings, interests and a relationship? What a surprise, me too!

Hi reddit,
Like you, I would love to meet someone special where the feelings are mutual. Like when you meet that someone for the first time and there's already a connection and over time it just grows and grows stronger. I would love that in the sense of a relationship. A mutual feeling of sense of having found that togetherness we both have been longing and searching for. So that's why I'm here.
Here are some pictures of me right now:
1 2 3 4 5'7, 137lbs (63-66kg), I have a law degree and am employed in government. A slim body, yet athletic and fit. How kept my beard and hair is depends on how much I care. Honest, Intelligent, sharply aware but at the same time silly and down to earth.
My interests are comedy, reading, history, doing activities in a small group setting (board games, climbing, escape rooms, restaurants, movie/ show watching, gaming, playing pool etc.). I like to boulder, visit museums, visiting friends who live abroad, watch movies and tv-shows and read novels. I'll listen to any genre, watch any
I can be described as an introvert around extraverts and an extravert around introverts. I am someone who can open up quickly to the right person. I don't hide anything for a person that I trust, but for you to trust someone you can't really tell until after a few conversations no?
Socially I'm a free spirit. I enjoy my time during events but when it's time to go I will immediately excuse myself and withdraw from any social situation I stop enjoying. I connect with others who get annoyed at big social gatherings and just want to get the hell out of there and get some peace and quiet. I also am attracted to people who have strong opinions about random subjects and can explain exactly why. Whether it's through their experience or interesting insights or views. Love listening to rants, they're always so funny and honest and true.
My comfort food and drink is thai ice tea, dim sum, Japanese gyoza or a Bic Mac. I don't drink except in special social gatherings. I'm not a drug user but am 420 friendly. Politically I lean very left (due to my law study).
As you can read I am definitely a homebody. That does not mean I avoid the adventure of the outside completely. I'm looking for someone who I can have a weird funny conversation with going back and forth, matching my sarcastic, dry and absurd sense of humor. Someone who's self aware, open minded and genuine.
I am attracted to people who are self-depreciating and are aware of their mannerisms. Also people who have their own life and want to combine theirs with mine. I'm searching for something local (Netherlands or near the Netherlands) and I would prefer you to be 27+ years of age.
If this person sounds like you, you like what you read and want to know more about me... don't shy away from sending me a message or an introduction. I would love to hear from you.
P.S.
I do not reply at people who live far away from me or people way below or above my age.
submitted by ThrowawayAmor to ForeverAloneDating [link] [comments]


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2023.04.01 00:15 tengrrl Job: Postdoctoral Teaching Fellow in Tech Comm/Rhetoric at Utah State

Hello everyone,
Utah State's Technical Communication and Rhetoric (TCR) program is hiring a new postdoctoral teaching fellow for 2023-2024. I've been in this position since fall 2021, and it's been very beneficial to me in terms of specializing my research in technical and professional communication and developing a diverse teaching portfolio. The USU TCR faculty are all great mentors and colleagues, so this is a wonderful opportunity for any ABD candidate or recent PhD who is interested in developing their work as a technical communication teacher and researcher with a social justice focus.
If anyone has questions about the position for me as the current postdoc, feel free to reach out. You can also feel free to contact any / all of the search committee members: Ryan Moeller ([[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])), Rebecca Walton ([[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])), or Jared Colton ([[email protected]](mailto:[email protected])).
I've copied the full job ad below, and here is the link to apply: https://careers-usu.icims.com/jobs/6359/job
Job Title: Postdoctoral Teaching Fellowship in Technical Communication and Rhetoric—Logan Campus
Requisition: 2023-6359
Overview
The English Department at Utah State University invites applicants to apply for a full-time 9-month, postdoctoral teaching fellowship in Technical Communication and Rhetoric located at the Logan Campus. The start date for this position is August 2023. This is a one-year position with the possibility of renewal.

The successful candidate will join a vibrant department committed to equity, diversity, and inclusivity in teaching and research. Postdocs are fully integrated in departmental culture and participate in monthly professional development sessions grounded in critical pedagogies. Our land-grant university receives national recognition for its support of undergraduate research, and postdocs play a key role in mentoring students at both the undergraduate and graduate levels. Postdocs will receive mentoring from department faculty that can help them prepare for future professional development.
ResponsibilitiesThe successful applicant will contribute to our PhD program and brand new undergraduate major and minor in Technical Communication and Rhetoric (TCR), as well as our online Master of Technical Communication program. Ideal candidates will contribute expertise relevant to the TCR program’s emphasis on social justice. The teaching load is 3-3.
Qualifications: This one-year fellowship (2023-2024 academic year, with the possibility of renewal) will foster the career of a scholar who has earned a PhD in a relevant field (e.g., technical communication, rhetoric, or similar) by August 1, 2023.

The successful candidate will be able to demonstrate the following:
  • Strong interpersonal communication skills
  • A record of effective and innovative teaching at the post-secondary level
  • Commitments to diversity, inclusivity and social justice in teaching

Link to apply: https://careers-usu.icims.com/jobs/6359/job
Best,
Calvin Pollak, Ph.D. (he/him)
Postdoctoral Teaching Fellow in Technical Communication & Rhetoric
Department of English
Utah State University
via IFTTT
submitted by tengrrl to WPAannouncements [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 00:14 Super-Basis2499 My Personal Advice for Handling Triggers, Splits & FP Things

This might be very long so I'm sorry in advance. This advice might not help everyone, but I hope it helps at least some people. I also want to add that I've never been in therapy specifically for BPD, and that means that even if you don't have access to therapy, you CAN work on yourself and work on improving. It took me years to learn this stuff on my own, but I still did it. Though for a portion of it I did have help from a mood stabilizer.
TRIGGERS: It's important to know how to cope when your BPD is triggered. I'll be using some of the ones I experience for examples.
SPLITS: Recognizing when a split is going to happen is important. A good way to learn to recognize this is to look back on your past splits. How did your thought process change? What were you feeling? Knowing these things will make it easier to identify splits.
FAVORITE PERSON: When I get a favorite person, I tell them, explain my experiences with BPD, and send them resources about BPD. I feel like it's important for them to know. I'm lucky nobody has ever cut contact with me over it.
OTHER ADVICE:
END: I can't think of anything else to add right now, but if I think of something I'll edit the post to add it. If anyone wants to request something to be added, please feel free! I hope this is understandable and helpful :)
submitted by Super-Basis2499 to BPD [link] [comments]


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2023.04.01 00:14 edwe3dre3e3r Watch John Wick: Chapter 4 Online (2023) On Reddit

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John Wick: Chapter 4 hits theaters on January 20, 2023. Tickets to see the film at your local movie theater are available online here. The film is being released in a wide release so you can watch it in person.
How to Watch John Wick: Chapter 4 for Free?release on a platform that offers a free trial. Our readers to always pay for the content they wish to consume online and refrain from using illegal means.
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There are currently no platforms that have the rights to Watch John Wick: Chapter 4 Movie Online.MAPPA has decided to air the movie only in theaters because it has been a huge success.The studio , on the other hand, does not wish to divert revenue Streaming the movie would only slash the profits, not increase them.
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Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Netflix?
The streaming giant has a massive catalog of television shows and movies, but it does not include 'John Wick: Chapter 4.' We recommend our readers watch other dark fantasy films like 'The Witcher: Nightmare of the Wolf.'
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Crunchyroll?
Crunchyroll, along with Funimation, has acquired the rights to the film and will be responsible for its distribution in North America.Therefore, we recommend our readers to look for the movie on the streamer in the coming months. subscribers can also watch dark fantasy shows like 'Jujutsu Kaisen.'
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Hulu?
No, 'John Wick: Chapter 4' is unavailable on Hulu. People who have a subscription to the platform can enjoy 'Afro Samurai Resurrection' or 'Ninja Scroll.' Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Amazon Prime? Amazon Prime's current catalog does not include 'John Wick: Chapter 4.' However, the film may eventually release on the platform as video-on-demand in the coming months.fantasy movies on Amazon Prime's official website. Viewers who are looking for something similar can watch the original show 'Dororo.'
When Will John Wick: Chapter 4 Be on Disney+?
John Wick: Chapter 4, the latest installment in the John Wick: Chapter 4 franchise, is coming to Disney+ on July 8th! This new movie promises to be just as exciting as the previous ones, with plenty of action and adventure to keep viewers entertained. you're looking forward to watching it, you may be wondering when it will be available for your Disney+ subscription. Here's an answer to that question!
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Funimation?
Crunchyroll, its official website may include the movie in its catalog in the near future. Meanwhile, people who wish to watch something similar can stream 'Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – The Movie: Mugen Train.'
John Wick: Chapter 4 Online In The US?
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What is John Wick: Chapter 4 About?
It features an ensemble cast that includes Florence Pugh, Harry Styles, Wilde, Gemma Chan, KiKi Layne, Nick Kroll, and Chris Pine. In the film, a young wife living in a 2250s company town begins to believe there is a sinister secret being kept from her by the man who runs it. InshaAllah...... ‌ Now Is John Wick: Chapter 4 available to stream? Is watching John Wick: Chapter 4 on Disney Plus, HBO Max, Netflix, or Amazon Prime? Yes, we have found an authentic streaming option/service. A 1950s housewife living with her husband in a utopian experim
ental community begins to worry that his glamorous company could be hiding disturbing secrets. Showcase Cinema Warwick you'll want to make sure you're one of the first people to see it! So mark your calendars and get ready for a John Wick: Chapter 4 movie experience like never before. of our other Marvel movies available to watch online. We're sure you'll find something to your liking. Thanks for reading, and we'll see you soon! John Wick: Chapter 4 is available on our website for free streaming. Details on how you can watch John Wick: Chapter 4 for free throughout the year are described
If you're a fan of the comics, you won't want to miss this one! The storyline follows John Wick: Chapter 4 as he tries to find his way home after being stranded on an alien John Wick: Chapter 4t. John Wick: Chapter 4 is definitely a John Wick: Chapter 4 movie you don't want to miss with stunning visuals and an action-packed plot! Plus, John Wick: Chapter 4 online streaming is available on our website. John Wick: Chapter 4 online is free, which includes streaming options such as 123movies, Reddit, or TV shows from HBO Max or Netflix!
John Wick: Chapter 4 Release in the US
John Wick: Chapter 4 hits theaters on January 20, 2023. Tickets to see the film at your local movie theater are available online here. The film is being released in a wide release so you can watch it in person.
How to Watch John Wick: Chapter 4 for Free?release on a platform that offers a free trial. Our readers to always pay for the content they wish to consume online and refrain from using illegal means.
Where to Watch John Wick: Chapter 4?
There are currently no platforms that have the rights to Watch John Wick: Chapter 4 Movie Online.MAPPA has decided to air the movie only in theaters because it has been a huge success.The studio , on the other hand, does not wish to divert revenue Streaming the movie would only slash the profits, not increase them.
As a result, no streaming services are authorized to offer John Wick: Chapter 4 Movie for free. The film would, however, very definitely be acquired by services like Funimation , Netflix, and Crunchyroll. As a last consideration, which of these outlets will likely distribute the film worldwide?
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Netflix?
The streaming giant has a massive catalog of television shows and movies, but it does not include 'John Wick: Chapter 4.' We recommend our readers watch other dark fantasy films like 'The Witcher: Nightmare of the Wolf.'
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Crunchyroll?
Crunchyroll, along with Funimation, has acquired the rights to the film and will be responsible for its distribution in North America.Therefore, we recommend our readers to look for the movie on the streamer in the coming months. subscribers can also watch dark fantasy shows like 'Jujutsu Kaisen.'
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Hulu?
No, 'John Wick: Chapter 4' is unavailable on Hulu. People who have a subscription to the platform can enjoy 'Afro Samurai Resurrection' or 'Ninja Scroll.'
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Amazon Prime?
Amazon Prime's current catalog does not include 'John Wick: Chapter 4.' However, the film may eventually release on the platform as video-on-demand in the coming months.fantasy movies on Amazon Prime's official website. Viewers who are looking for something similar can watch the original show 'Dororo.'
When Will John Wick: Chapter 4 Be on Disney+?
John Wick: Chapter 4, the latest installment in the John Wick: Chapter 4 franchise, is coming to Disney+ on July 8th! This new movie promises to be just as exciting as the previous ones, with plenty of action and adventure to keep viewers entertained. you're looking forward to watching it, you may be wondering when it will be available for your Disney+ subscription. Here's an answer to that question! Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Funimation? Crunchyroll, its official website may include the movie in its catalog in the near future. Meanwhile, people who wish to watch something similar can stream 'Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – The Movie: Mugen Train.'
John Wick: Chapter 4 Online In The US?
Most Viewed, Most Favorite, Top Rating, Top IMDb movies online. Here we can download and watch 123movies movies offline. 123Movies website is the best alternative to John Wick: Chapter 4's (2021) free online. We will recommend 123Movies as the best Solarmovie alternative There are a few ways to watch John Wick: Chapter 4 online in the US You can use a streaming service such as Netflix, Hulu, or Amazon Prime Video. You can also rent or buy the movie on iTunes or Google Play. watch it on-demand or on a streaming app available on your TV or streaming device if you have cable.
What is John Wick: Chapter 4 About?
It features an ensemble cast that includes Florence Pugh, Harry Styles, Wilde, Gemma Chan, KiKi Layne, Nick Kroll, and Chris Pine. In the film, a young wife living in a 2250s company town begins to believe there is a sinister secret being kept from her by the man who runs it. InshaAllah...... ‌ Now Is John Wick: Chapter 4 available to stream? Is watching John Wick: Chapter 4 on Disney Plus, HBO Max, Netflix, or Amazon Prime? Yes, we have found an authentic streaming option/service. A 1950s housewife living with her husband in a utopian experimental community begins to worry that his glamorous company could be hiding disturbing secrets.
Showcase Cinema Warwick you'll want to make sure you're one of the first people to see it! So mark your calendars and get ready for a John Wick: Chapter 4 movie experience like never before. of our other Marvel movies available to watch online. We're sure you'll find something to your liking. Thanks for reading, and we'll see you soon! John Wick: Chapter 4 is available on our website for free streaming. Details on how you can watch John Wick: Chapter 4 for free throughout the year are described
If you're a fan of the comics, you won't want to miss this one! The storyline follows John Wick: Chapter 4 as he tries to find his way home after being stranded on an alien John Wick: Chapter 4t. John Wick: Chapter 4 is definitely a John Wick: Chapter 4 movie you don't want to miss with stunning visuals and an action-packed plot! Plus, John Wick: Chapter 4 online streaming is available on our website. John Wick: Chapter 4 online is free, which includes streaming options such as 123movies, Reddit, or TV shows from HBO Max or Netflix!
John Wick: Chapter 4 Release in the US
John Wick: Chapter 4 hits theaters on January 20, 2023. Tickets to see the film at your local movie theater are available online here. The film is being released in a wide release so you can watch it in person.
How to Watch John Wick: Chapter 4 for Free?release on a platform that offers a free trial. Our readers to always pay for the content they wish to consume online and refrain from using illegal means.
Where to Watch John Wick: Chapter 4?
There are currently no platforms that have the rights to Watch John Wick: Chapter 4 Movie Online.MAPPA has decided to air the movie only in theaters because it has been a huge success.The studio , on the other hand, does not wish to divert revenue Streaming the movie would only slash the profits, not increase them.
As a result, no streaming services are authorized to offer John Wick: Chapter 4 Movie for free. The film would, however, very definitely be acquired by services like Funimation , Netflix, and Crunchyroll. As a last consideration, which of these outlets will likely distribute the film worldwide?
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Netflix?
The streaming giant has a massive catalog of television shows and movies, but it does not include 'John Wick: Chapter 4.' We recommend our readers watch other dark fantasy films like 'The Witcher: Nightmare of the Wolf.'
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Crunchyroll?
Crunchyroll, along with Funimation, has acquired the rights to the film and will be responsible for its distribution in North America.Therefore, we recommend our readers to look for the movie on the streamer in the coming months. subscribers can also watch dark fantasy shows like 'Jujutsu Kaisen.'
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Hulu?
No, 'John Wick: Chapter 4' is unavailable on Hulu. People who have a subscription to the platform can enjoy 'Afro Samurai Resurrection' or 'Ninja Scroll.'
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Amazon Prime?
Amazon Prime's current catalog does not include 'John Wick: Chapter 4.' However, the film may eventually release on the platform as video-on-demand in the coming months.fantasy movies on Amazon Prime's official website. Viewers who are looking for something similar can watch the original show 'Dororo.'
When Will John Wick: Chapter 4 Be on Disney+?
John Wick: Chapter 4, the latest installment in the John Wick: Chapter 4 franchise, is coming to Disney+ on July 8th! This new movie promises to be just as exciting as the previous ones, with plenty of action and adventure to keep viewers entertained. you're looking forward to watching it, you may be wondering when it will be available for your Disney+ subscription. Here's an answer to that question!
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Funimation?
Crunchyroll, its official website may include the movie in its catalog in the near future. Meanwhile, people who wish to watch something similar can stream 'Demon Slayer: Kimetsu no Yaiba – The Movie: Mugen Train.'
John Wick: Chapter 4 Online In The US?
Most Viewed, Most Favorite, Top Rating, Top IMDb movies online. Here we can download and watch 123movies movies offline. 123Movies website is the best alternative to John Wick: Chapter 4's (2021) free online. We will recommend 123Movies as the best Solarmovie alternative There are a few ways to watch John Wick: Chapter 4 online in the US You can use a streaming service such as Netflix, Hulu, or Amazon Prime Video. You can also rent or buy the movie on iTunes or Google Play. watch it on-demand or on a streaming app available on your TV or streaming device if you have cable.
What is John Wick: Chapter 4 About?
It features an ensemble cast that includes Florence Pugh, Harry Styles, Wilde, Gemma Chan, KiKi Layne, Nick Kroll, and Chris Pine. In the film, a young wife living in a 2250s company town begins to believe there is a sinister secret being kept from her by the man who runs it. InshaAllah...... ‌ Now Is John Wick: Chapter 4 available to stream? Is watching John Wick: Chapter 4 on Disney Plus, HBO Max, Netflix, or Amazon Prime? Yes, we have found an authentic streaming option/service. A 1950s housewife living with her husband in a utopian experimental community begins to worry that his glamorous company could be hiding disturbing secrets.
Showcase Cinema Warwick you'll want to make sure you're one of the first people to see it! So mark your calendars and get ready for a John Wick: Chapter 4 movie experience like never before. of our other Marvel movies available to watch online. We're sure you'll find something to your liking. Thanks for reading, and we'll see you soon! John Wick: Chapter 4 is available on our website for free streaming. Details on how you can watch John Wick: Chapter 4 for free throughout the year are described
If you're a fan of the comics, you won't want to miss this one! The storyline follows John Wick: Chapter 4 as he tries to find his way home after being stranded on an alien John Wick: Chapter 4t. John Wick: Chapter 4 is definitely a John Wick: Chapter 4 movie you don't want to miss with stunning visuals and an action-packed plot! Plus, John Wick: Chapter 4 online streaming is available on our website. John Wick: Chapter 4 online is free, which includes streaming options such as 123movies, Reddit, or TV shows from HBO Max or Netflix!
John Wick: Chapter 4 Release in the US
John Wick: Chapter 4 hits theaters on January 20, 2023. Tickets to see the film at your local movie theater are available online here. The film is being released in a wide release so you can watch it in person.
How to Watch John Wick: Chapter 4 for Free?release on a platform that offers a free trial. Our readers to always pay for the content they wish to consume online and refrain from using illegal means.
Where to Watch John Wick: Chapter 4?
There are currently no platforms that have the rights to Watch John Wick: Chapter 4 Movie Online.MAPPA has decided to air the movie only in theaters because it has been a huge success.The studio , on the other hand, does not wish to divert revenue Streaming the movie would only slash the profits, not increase them.
As a result, no streaming services are authorized to offer John Wick: Chapter 4 Movie for free. The film would, however, very definitely be acquired by services like Funimation , Netflix, and Crunchyroll. As a last consideration, which of these outlets will likely distribute the film worldwide?
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Netflix?
The streaming giant has a massive catalog of television shows and movies, but it does not include 'John Wick: Chapter 4.' We recommend our readers watch other dark fantasy films like 'The Witcher: Nightmare of the Wolf.'
Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Crunchyroll?
Crunchyroll, along with Funimation, has acquired the rights to the film and will be responsible for its distribution in North America.Therefore, we recommend our readers to look for the movie on the streamer in the coming months. subscribers can also watch dark fantasy shows like 'Jujutsu Kaisen.' Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Hulu?
No, 'John Wick: Chapter 4' is unavailable on Hulu. People who have a subscription to the platform can enjoy 'Afro Samurai Resurrection' or 'Ninja Scroll.' Is John Wick: Chapter 4 on Amazon Prime?
submitted by edwe3dre3e3r to JohnWick_facebook [link] [comments]


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David 1:1 of the highest quality DIDR. I have the best shoes, handbags, clothes, belts, watches, the fastest express and free delivery submitted by Artistic-Repair-1828 to RepVirgins [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 00:13 Dismal-Jellyfish Inflation Alert! Fed Governor Lisa Cook: "the inflation picture is less favorable than it appeared earlier this year. Part of the encouraging disinflation initially observed in the fourth quarter of last year was revised away, while inflation over the first two months of this year came in high."

Inflation Alert! Fed Governor Lisa Cook:
Source: https://www.federalreserve.gov/newsevents/speech/cook20230331a.htm

Highlights:

  • From the perspective of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, the 2020 recession was unprecedented.
  • Of the 35 recessions since 1858, only 8 spanned months in the single digits from peak to trough.
  • The one in 2020 was severe, but it spanned only two months from peak to trough and was the shortest recession on record.
  • Last June, U.S. inflation hit a peak of 7 percent as measured by the 12-month change in the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index.
  • Over the past year, Fed has raised the federal funds rate nearly 5 percentage points and have begun to reduce the size of the balance sheet.
  • As a result, financial conditions have tightened significantly: borrowing costs have risen, equity prices have declined, and the dollar has appreciated on net.
  • The process of returning inflation to 2 percent has a long way to go and is likely to be uneven and bumpy.
  • The inflation picture is less favorable than it appeared earlier this year. Part of the encouraging disinflation initially observed in the fourth quarter of last year was revised away, while inflation over the first two months of this year came in high.
  • The 3-, 6-, and 12-month changes in February prices for the core PCE index—excluding food and energy—are all around 4-1/2 to 5 percent.
  • Housing services inflation continues at a rapid monthly clip, contributing much more to inflation than it did before the pandemic.
  • Inflation in non-housing core services remains sticky at elevated levels.
  • Even core goods prices rose in January and February, after three months of declines, highlighting the uneven nature of the disinflationary process.
  • More broadly in the economy, profit margins may narrow as buyers become more price sensitive and pull back on spending.
  • Earnings calls from nonfinancial corporations already show increasing awareness of resistance to price increases.
  • Non-housing core services inflation is a broad category that accounts for more than half of the core PCE index. Inflation in this category looks quite persistent amid strong post-pandemic demand for travel, dining out, and medical care.
  • Disinflation in these services will likely require some combination of slowing demand and further recovery in supply.
  • Payroll employment growth was extraordinarily robust in January and February, unemployment remains near record lows, and job openings remain very elevated.
  • The quits rate has retraced more than half of its pandemic-era rise, falling steadily from a 3 percent peak in late 2021 to 2.5 percent in January.
  • Labor force participation edged up to 62.5 percent in the most recent data.
  • Prime-age participation is now back to pre-pandemic levels.
  • In addition, new estimates show higher population growth over the past year amid a rebound in immigration.
  • Consumer spending has gained steam this year after slowing late last year.
  • Consumer spending is being supported by robust growth in households' real disposable income amid strong employment growth.
  • Strong household balance sheets have also supported spending, although lower-income consumers appear to have mostly exhausted their excess savings.
  • The incoming data would suggest a somewhat higher inflation rate for this year and stronger economic growth. However, I am closely watching developments in the banking sector, which have the potential to tighten credit conditions and counteract some of that momentum.
  • The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient: the Federal Reserve, working with other agencies, has taken decisive actions to protect the U.S. economy and to strengthen public confidence in our banking system. They will continue to closely monitor conditions in the banking system and are prepared to use all tools, as needed, to keep the "system safe and sound."
  • In its March policy statement, the FOMC dialed back its forward guidance on the path of the policy rate: they shifted from anticipating "ongoing increases" to saying that "some additional policy firming may be appropriate."

https://preview.redd.it/d9s02xdde5ra1.png?width=717&format=png&auto=webp&s=fcf8b3bd2ccf3f5f0369c9aadb291a4df81b9c53
I guess she does not want to end up like Fed Governor Christopher J. Waller with inflation? "As for what inflation does next, I think anyone who makes a forecast has to own the fact that very few of us foresaw how much inflation would increase in 2021"

TLDRS:

  • The inflation picture is less favorable than it appeared earlier this year. Part of the encouraging disinflation initially observed in the fourth quarter of last year was revised away, while inflation over the first two months of this year came in high.
  • The 3-, 6-, and 12-month changes in February prices for the core PCE index—excluding food and energy—are all around 4-1/2 to 5 percent.
  • Housing services inflation continues at a rapid monthly clip, contributing much more to inflation than it did before the pandemic.
  • Inflation in non-housing core services remains sticky at elevated levels.
  • Non-housing core services inflation is a broad category that accounts for more than half of the core PCE index. Inflation in this category looks quite persistent amid strong post-pandemic demand for travel, dining out, and medical care.
https://preview.redd.it/1tqzloahf5ra1.png?width=610&format=png&auto=webp&s=9e3aac21e20de4de1aabed7b5b00b38f3ec0648e

Full speech:

Thanks to President Kasey Buckles and the program committee for affording me the opportunity to give the C. Woody Thompson Memorial Lecture. It is a pleasure to be back in the Midwest. Before joining the Federal Reserve, I taught economics at Michigan State University, which I chose for its bird's-eye view of the industrial Midwest. Big 10 rivalries aside, Ohio and Michigan share quite a lot, including many of the same economic concerns and interests.
Today I would like to outline my views on the trajectory of U.S. economic developments and what they imply for the appropriate path of monetary policy.1
This is an especially challenging time to be an economic analyst or policymaker. Recent developments in the banking sector have added to existing uncertainties about recovery from the pandemic shock and developments abroad. In that context, the economic and policy outlook needs to balance data dependence with forward-looking analysis. Recent data show greater momentum in inflation and economic activity, but recent banking developments may suggest greater headwinds for financial conditions and the economy going forward.
The U.S. economyAssessing the current state of the economy requires revisiting the pandemic and its economic repercussions. From the perspective of the NBER Business Cycle Dating Committee, the 2020 recession was unprecedented. Of the 35 recessions since 1858, only 8 spanned months in the single digits from peak to trough. The one in 2020 was severe, but it spanned only two months from peak to trough and was the shortest recession on record.
However, the pandemic's economic effects reverberated through 2021 and 2022. Inflation surged during the recovery amid pandemic-induced disruptions to supply, while demand for goods was boosted by a shift away from in-person services, and overall demand was supported by monetary and fiscal policy. Russia's invasion of Ukraine in February 2022 was a further supply shock to the global economy, driving up prices for energy and other commodities. Last June, U.S. inflation hit a peak of 7 percent as measured by the 12-month change in the personal consumption expenditures (PCE) index.
In response, the Federal Reserve has been using its monetary policy tools to restore price stability by bringing demand into line with still-constrained supply. Over the past year, we have raised the federal funds rate nearly 5 percentage points and have begun to reduce the size of our balance sheet.
As a result, financial conditions have tightened significantly. Borrowing costs have risen, equity prices have declined, and the dollar has appreciated on net.
Interest-sensitive sectors of the economy have slowed. Residential investment subtracted nearly 1 percentage point from gross domestic product growth last year, as housing demand was curtailed by higher mortgage rates. Business fixed investment held up last year but appears to have slowed more recently. Manufacturing activity has slowed in response to tighter financing conditions, the stronger dollar, and some retracement of the pandemic-related shift from services to goods.
As energy prices have moderated and supply disruptions have eased, inflation has started to abate. However, the process of returning inflation to 2 percent has a long way to go and is likely to be uneven and bumpy.
Indeed, the inflation picture is less favorable than it appeared earlier this year. Part of the encouraging disinflation initially observed in the fourth quarter of last year was revised away, while inflation over the first two months of this year came in high.
The inflation data show some persistence. The 3-, 6-, and 12-month changes in February prices for the core PCE index—excluding food and energy—are all around 4-1/2 to 5 percent. Housing services inflation continues at a rapid monthly clip, contributing much more to inflation than it did before the pandemic. Inflation in non-housing core services remains sticky at elevated levels. Even core goods prices rose in January and February, after three months of declines, highlighting the uneven nature of the disinflationary process.
Even so, several factors are likely to contribute to disinflation. Long-term inflation expectations remain well anchored, and shorter-term expectations have retraced much of last year's rise.2 Rent increases on new leases have slowed sharply over the past six months, which should begin to pull down measured housing-services inflation over the course of this year. Moreover, significant supply of multifamily housing is coming online, which should take further pressure off the rental market.
Core goods inflation should continue converging toward its pre-pandemic trend of slightly negative numbers, as supply chains continue to heal and demand for goods continues to slow. Rebounding automobile production should help prices for new and used cars continue to moderate as cars become more available. More broadly in the economy, profit margins may narrow as buyers become more price sensitive and pull back on spending. Earnings calls from nonfinancial corporations already show increasing awareness of resistance to price increases.
Non-housing core services inflation is a broad category that accounts for more than half of the core PCE index. Inflation in that category looks quite persistent amid strong post-pandemic demand for travel, dining out, and medical care. Disinflation in these services will likely require some combination of slowing demand and further recovery in supply.
One potential avenue of disinflation is that a decline in prices for some goods may help lower related services prices. For instance, an eventual retreat in car prices may feed into lower prices for car insurance, repairs, and rentals, reversing some of their increases over the past two years.
Another potential source of disinflation is that wage growth has moderated somewhat, even as the labor market remains very strong by most measures. Payroll employment growth was extraordinarily robust in January and February, unemployment remains near record lows, and job openings remain very elevated.
Nonetheless, there are some signs that the labor market is softening at the margin. The Federal Reserve Board staff's measure of private employment using data from the payroll processing firm ADP suggests that job gains slowed in January and February. Job postings from Indeed show a noticeable decline. And the quits rate has retraced more than half of its pandemic-era rise, falling steadily from a 3 percent peak in late 2021 to 2.5 percent in January. That could be significant, as much of the surge in wage growth a year ago may have been driven by outsized wage gains of those changing jobs and by employers raising wages to retain existing workers.
This wage moderation may partly reflect some improvement in labor supply. Labor force participation edged up to 62.5 percent in the most recent data. Prime-age participation is now back to pre-pandemic levels. In addition, new estimates show higher population growth over the past year amid a rebound in immigration.
Over time, there is reason to believe that rising productivity also may aid supply. I see three potential sources of rising productivity growth.
First, increased innovation associated with the spurt of new businesses since the onset of the pandemic may raise productivity. Second, current labor shortages are spurring increased investment in automation that should boost labor productivity over time. Finally, a recent paper by David Autor, Arin Dube, and Annie McGrew suggests another way that the strong labor market could boost productivity.3 They find that faster wage gains for lower-paid workers have come from job-switching to higher-wage firms, which may also be more-productive firms.
Currently, however, supply in the economy continues to be insufficient to meet still-robust demand. Importantly, consumer spending has gained steam this year after slowing late last year. Consumer spending is being supported by robust growth in households' real disposable income amid strong employment growth. Strong household balance sheets have also supported spending, although lower-income consumers appear to have mostly exhausted their excess savings.
Altogether, the incoming data would suggest a somewhat higher inflation rate for this year and stronger economic growth. However, I am closely watching developments in the banking sector, which have the potential to tighten credit conditions and counteract some of that momentum.
The U.S. banking system is sound and resilient. The Federal Reserve, working with other agencies, has taken decisive actions to protect the U.S. economy and to strengthen public confidence in our banking system. We will continue to closely monitor conditions in the banking system and are prepared to use all our tools, as needed, to keep the system safe and sound.
At the same time, I am monitoring overall financial conditions in the U.S. economy, including indicators of credit availability. I am well aware of the extensive literature linking monetary policy, credit conditions, economic activity, and inflation. Over the past 15 years, that literature came to be roughly a quarter of the syllabus in the macroeconomics class that I taught.
A particular focus over my career, including in my December NBER paper with Matt Marx and Emmanuel Yimfor, is the importance of smaller financial institutions in lending to small and medium-sized firms.4 Those smaller banks over time have developed relevant expertise in small-business lending and have worked to maintain relationships with small firms. Thus, I am attentive to whether recent banking developments will restrain credit to small businesses, which could slow innovation and growth in potential output over time.
Data dependence and monetary policyTurning to monetary policy, I have said frequently that my approach to policymaking in uncertain times is to be data dependent. And, like everyone, my own research and experiences shape my views on setting that policy. I was at the Council of Economic Advisers during the euro-area crisis, and my work on emerging economies—particularly Russia and some African economies—has taught me how difficult it can be to forecast in highly uncertain environments.
Taking all these lessons into account, I approach all our monetary policy discussions with the same mindset:
Be prepared to adjust the outlook based on incoming data while being humble about our ability to draw firm conclusions and thus not overreacting to a few data points.
Seek out useful data sources, including high-frequency data that may better capture evolving economic developments.
And follow a risk-management approach that considers not only the expected outcomes, but also various risks to the outlook.
Of course, it is tempting to follow the old adage of "never make predictions, especially about the future." But ultimately, policymaking must be forward-looking, which means relying, at least in part, on forecasts. The challenge is to figure out which models apply. For example, when I began studying banks in the post-Soviet era for my dissertation, I found that the standard models used in normal times and for mature, industrialized economies are less useful in highly uncertain environments.
Since my first FOMC meeting last June, my data-dependent, risk-management approach has led me to support the Fed's response of frontloading monetary policy tightening to bring inflation under control.
After the swift policy response of the past year, monetary policy is now in restrictive territory. For instance, real interest rates are positive across the yield curve.5
Going forward, I am weighing the implications of stronger momentum in the economy against potential headwinds from recent developments. On the one hand, if tighter financing conditions restrain the economy, the appropriate path of the federal funds rate may be lower than it would be in their absence. On the other hand, if data show continued strength in the economy and slower disinflation, we may have more work to do.
The FOMC has been raising rates in smaller increments as we seek a sufficiently restrictive monetary policy stance to return inflation to 2 percent over time. By taking smaller steps, we can observe economic and financial conditions and consider the cumulative effects of our policy actions.
For the econometricians, this approach is similar to the iterative procedure in maximum likelihood estimation, where large early steps are followed by smaller steps as you approach the local optimum.
In its March policy statement, the FOMC dialed back its forward guidance on the path of the policy rate.6 We shifted from anticipating "ongoing increases" to saying that "some additional policy firming may be appropriate." I think this communication is appropriate as we seek to calibrate monetary policy to be sufficiently restrictive amid uncertainty about the economic outlook.
Yet what should not be uncertain is our commitment to our dual-mandate goals of maximum employment and price stability. We will do what it takes to bring inflation back to our 2 percent target over time, which will lay the foundation for sustainable strength in the labor market and the U.S. economy.
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2023.04.01 00:13 b3_Bets MLB B3 Bets Free Play of the day!

0-1 yesterday on our free play, D’Backs stank it up and couldn’t produce any offense after 2 innings and Gallen choked under pressure having runners on.
Todays is a Guarantee LOCK.
Mets vs Marlins
Miami sucks against lefties abysmal .208 BA LY. Mets hot bats right out the gate yesterday. Peterson 49% GB ratio in 3 starts against MIA LY. He went 1-1 2.50 in 18 IP, 23ks / 5BB. Peterson also way better on the road going 2-3 3.25 in 9 starts LY. In 4 spring starts TY, 1 hit / 12 shutout INN 13Ks but 8 walks which is a lot.
Mets only used 3 relievers Mia used 4 yesterday
Luzardo terrible at home LY 2-5 4.25 in 8 starts allowing teams to hit .238 compared at home compared to .152 in the road. In 2 starts against the Mets LY he gave up 7 runs off 10 hits, 5 walks in 9.2 IP
We have to use last years data to handicap the start of szn which obviously isn’t as relevant or good of data that we will have to cap games in about 4-6 weeks in. Nor has any wear and tear from travel set in to give us bigger edges. At that time we will then scale our wagers size
Since the szn is young, Give me the Mets ML (-115) tonight for our free pick of the day for (1U)
https://b3bets.com for additional Free Picks and Packages.
submitted by b3_Bets to SportsBettingandDFS [link] [comments]


2023.04.01 00:11 StepwiseUndrape574 Grand Theft Auto is no stranger to add-on content,

Grand Theft Auto is no stranger to add-on content, but the latest in a long line of leaks suggests Rockstar might be taking a bit of a different approach for the long-awaited sequel — splitting up parts of the game to repackage as DLC.
The rumor comes from established Rockstar leaker Tez2, who says Grand Theft Auto 6 is currently targeting a release in holiday 2024 “which has been pushed back multiple times.” Tez2 adds the game may be pushed back again, into to 2025.
Furthermore, Tez2 claims Rockstar is considering breaking up the game’s content into post-launch DLC, to ensure the game can meet a release date. If GTA 6 launches in 2024, it will be a whopping 11 years since the last release in the franchise.
This wouldn’t be an unprecedented move from Rockstar, considering the approach the studio has taken with GTA Online, incrementally releasing massive updates and new story content. Notably, however, GTA 5 didn’t feature any additional story content, just updates to the Online portion of the game.
GTA Online GTA Online has managed to stay relevant for a decade with consistent updates, and it makes sense Rockstar would pivot to that same approach to single-player content.ROCKSTAR Taking this approach would let Rockstar more easily hit whatever internal timeline is established for GTA 6, and provide a road map of content to make post-launch more appealing to players. Interestingly, this isn’t the first time this kind of rumor has been brought up by Tez2, as last August the leaker reported GTA 6 would “expand over time,” adding on new cities after launch.
The easiest approach would be to create content that ties into both the single-player and multiplayer aspects of GTA 6, and creating new cities in-game could do just that. New locations could be fully playable in the online portion, while also adding on hand-crafted stories and missions. This would allow Rockstar to continue the overwhelming success of GTA Online, while story content could help attract new players or those that might not care to engage with multiplayer.
This tactic of splitting up elements of the game as DLC is something Nintendo has been using for years, to great success. Mario Strikers: Battle League, Super Smash Bros. Ultimate, Mario Kart 8, Animal Crossing: New Horizons, and Nintendo Switch Sports, have all seen scheduled add-ons for new content, even years after their initial release. At this point, it’s not clear how much of a live-service element there will be for GTA 6, but this Nintendo-like approach would allow Rockstar to retain players who are primarily interested in single-player experiences.
GTA 5 Although GTA 5 never received single-player DLC, Rockstar’s director of design said in a 2017 interview the studio would “love to do more single-player add-ons for games in the future.”ROCKSTAR Nintendo stands apart from other developers, though, in that typically these updates are free or bundled with a Switch Online subscription. It’s a smart move, as games like Mario Strikers, which would typically have a very short shelf life, suddenly provide players with more of a reason to stick with it for the long haul. It also allows Nintendo to continue to sell its older, first-party titles with minimal discounts.
There’s no video game property in existence bigger than Grand Theft Auto, and a report in 2020 estimated GTA Online made a staggering $600 million in 2019. Even in 2023, it continues to hold an enviable place in the sales charts month after month. The popularity of GTA Online has only continued to increase over the years, and that mainstream success is exactly what’s poised to make GTA 6 such a massive success.
Breaking up content into DLC lets Rockstar bring GTA 6 back into the conversation every six months, year, or whatever release timeline suits the studio and the community best. Seeing a big GTA 6 update in a State of Play or other presentation will likely bring thousands of players flocking back to the game, and considering GTA 5 and GTA Online are still alive and kicking a decade later, it’s easy to say Rockstar is hoping for lightning to strike twice with GTA 6.
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2023.04.01 00:09 b3_Bets MLB B3 Bets free play of the day!

0-1 yesterday on our free play, D’Backs stank it up and couldn’t produce any offense after 2 innings and Gallen choked under pressure having runners on.
Todays is a Guarantee LOCK.
Mets vs Marlins
Miami sucks against lefties abysmal .208 BA LY. Mets hot bats right out the gate yesterday. Peterson 49% GB ratio in 3 starts against MIA LY. He went 1-1 2.50 in 18 IP, 23ks / 5BB. Peterson also way better on the road going 2-3 3.25 in 9 starts LY. In 4 spring starts TY, 1 hit / 12 shutout INN 13Ks but 8 walks which is a lot.
Mets only used 3 relievers Mia used 4 yesterday
Luzardo terrible at home LY 2-5 4.25 in 8 starts allowing teams to hit .238 compared at home compared to .152 in the road. In 2 starts against the Mets LY he gave up 7 runs off 10 hits, 5 walks in 9.2 IP
We have to use last years data to handicap the start of szn which obviously isn’t as relevant or good of data that we will have to cap games in about 4-6 weeks in. Nor has any wear and tear from travel set in to give us bigger edges. At that time we will then scale our wagers size
Since the szn is young, Give me the Mets ML (-115) tonight for our free pick of the day for (1U)
https://b3bets.com for additional Free Picks and Packages.
submitted by b3_Bets to Bettingsport [link] [comments]


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2023.04.01 00:08 b3_Bets MLB B3 Bets Free Play of the Day

0-1 yesterday on our free play, D’Backs stank it up and couldn’t produce any offense after 2 innings and Gallen choked under pressure having runners on.
Todays is a Guarantee LOCK.
Mets vs Marlins
Miami sucks against lefties abysmal .208 BA LY. Mets hot bats right out the gate yesterday. Peterson 49% GB ratio in 3 starts against MIA LY. He went 1-1 2.50 in 18 IP, 23ks / 5BB. Peterson also way better on the road going 2-3 3.25 in 9 starts LY. In 4 spring starts TY, 1 hit / 12 shutout INN 13Ks but 8 walks which is a lot.
Mets only used 3 relievers Mia used 4 yesterday
Luzardo terrible at home LY 2-5 4.25 in 8 starts allowing teams to hit .238 compared at home compared to .152 in the road. In 2 starts against the Mets LY he gave up 7 runs off 10 hits, 5 walks in 9.2 IP
We have to use last years data to handicap the start of szn which obviously isn’t as relevant or good of data that we will have to cap games in about 4-6 weeks in. Nor has any wear and tear from travel set in to give us bigger edges. At that time we will then scale our wagers size
Since the szn is young, Give me the Mets ML (-115) tonight for our free pick of the day for (1U)
https://b3bets.com for additional Free Picks and Packages.
submitted by b3_Bets to BettingPicks [link] [comments]